Cognitive Biases

4 pages on this site touch on this topic.

• Confirmation bias — The tendency to notice, seek, and remember evidence that fits what you already believe, while giving less attention to evidence that doesn't.
• Confirmation bias — The tendency to notice and remember evidence that fits what you expect — and why it makes striking coincidences feel far more common than the unnoticed misses.
• Hindsight bias — Overestimating how predictable an outcome was, and misremembering your own earlier uncertainty as smaller, once you know how it turned out.
• Hindsight bias — Why an outcome feels predictable, even inevitable, once you know it happened — and what that does to how obvious a coincidence seems in hindsight.